Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 12.161491 13.663505 15.292095 17.191277 19.347955 21.724079 24.544682
2025-03-23 9.940346 11.970466 14.341342 17.323617 20.987469 25.357793 30.989944
2025-03-30 8.182170 10.457631 13.290784 17.097881 22.110984 28.529234 37.437159
2025-04-06 6.757105 9.095362 12.174313 16.560116 22.703404 31.085622 43.531129
2025-04-13 5.733557 8.080035 11.327580 16.202080 23.422667 33.864364 50.362836
2025-04-20 5.138421 7.553785 11.054108 16.570506 25.182411 38.340164 60.403306
2025-04-27 4.679478 7.149660 10.883643 17.039227 27.129815 43.362023 72.153915
2025-05-04 4.240174 6.708420 10.585024 17.243983 28.660946 47.924389 83.934167
2025-05-11 3.765992 6.146103 10.014217 16.908629 29.218754 50.910513 93.458449
2025-05-18 3.377264 5.672507 9.522988 16.626930 29.803919 53.995215 103.669793
2025-05-25 3.052512 5.266343 9.092068 16.382924 30.402253 57.162254 114.571989
2025-06-01 2.790844 4.938563 8.755945 16.259234 31.193157 60.788528 127.035797
2025-06-08 2.555227 4.637687 8.444909 16.164726 32.075036 64.831621 141.414045
2025-06-15 2.424386 4.515797 8.451556 16.692102 34.300543 72.023011 164.330842
2025-06-22 2.248483 4.288010 8.228587 16.725058 35.494018 77.208035 183.711954
2025-06-29 2.048746 3.991455 7.835906 16.350228 35.740587 80.319891 198.710471
2025-07-06 1.883393 3.745530 7.516610 16.088030 36.195649 83.979229 215.888153
2025-07-13 1.798515 3.655233 7.508362 16.511199 38.309673 91.982726 246.470429
2025-07-20 1.727119 3.585208 7.534357 17.014667 40.696145 101.091413 282.318743
2025-07-27 1.639005 3.469691 7.447851 17.241910 42.431993 108.835016 316.102897
2025-08-03 1.517868 3.269191 7.150041 16.920336 42.709665 112.728560 339.154565
2025-08-10 1.411531 3.091421 6.885308 16.646723 43.074224 116.934392 364.268611
2025-08-17 1.317115 2.931754 6.646081 16.407424 43.497768 121.393233 391.381064